Post-Tropical Low DouglasEP042026

19.1°N 128.1°W · moving NW at 8 kt · Best track through 2026-07-03 06:00 UTC

40 kt1002 mb
24 h intensity change
+5 kt
past 24 h, best track
SHIPS-RII 30 kt / 24 h
0%
×0.0 climatology
SST along track
25.6 °C
SHIPS, 06:00 UTC run
Deep-layer shear
20 kt
850–200 mb

Intensity — past 72 h and official forecast

Maximum sustained wind (kt). Best track observed 6-hourly (solid); NHC official forecast (dashed). Vertical line marks the latest fix.

Rapid intensification probabilities

20 kt / 12 h0%×0.0 climo
25 kt / 24 h0%×0.0 climo
30 kt / 24 h0%×0.0 climo
35 kt / 24 h0%×0.0 climo
40 kt / 24 h0%×0.0 climo
45 kt / 36 h0%×0.0 climo
55 kt / 48 h0%×0.0 climo
65 kt / 72 h0%×0.0 climo

SHIPS rapid intensification index (RII): probability of each wind gain over each period, with its multiple of the basin climatological rate. Parsed from the 2026-07-03 06:00 UTC SHIPS run.